Tài liệu Luận văn Capital structure and firm performance: case study: listed companies in hochiminh stock exchange: MINISTRY OF EDUCATION AND TRAINING
UNIVERSITY OF ECONOMICS HOCHIMINH CITY
--- oOo ---
HUỲNH ANH KIỆT
CAPITAL STRUCTURE AND FIRM PERFORMANCE:
CASE STUDY: LISTED COMPANIES IN
HOCHIMINH STOCK EXCHANGE
MASTER THESIS
Ho Chi Minh City – 2010
MINISTRY OF EDUCATION AND TRAINING
UNIVERSITY OF ECONOMICS HOCHIMINH CITY
--- oOo ---
HUỲNH ANH KIỆT
CAPITAL STRUCTURE AND FIRM PERFORMANCE:
CASE STUDY: LISTED COMPANIES IN
HOCHIMINH STOCK EXCHANGE
MAJOR: BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION
MAJOR CODE: 60.34.05
MASTER THESIS
INSTRUCTOR : PROFESSOR NGUYỄN ĐÔNG PHONG
Ho Chi Minh City – 2010
i
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
I would like to express my deepest gratitude to my research Instructor, Professor
Nguyen Dong Phong for his intensive support, valuable suggestions, guidance and
encouragement during the course of my study.
My sincere thanks are also due to Dr. Vo Thi Quy and Dr. Tran Ha Minh Quan for
their valuable time as the members of the proposal examination committee. T...
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MINISTRY OF EDUCATION AND TRAINING
UNIVERSITY OF ECONOMICS HOCHIMINH CITY
--- oOo ---
HUỲNH ANH KIỆT
CAPITAL STRUCTURE AND FIRM PERFORMANCE:
CASE STUDY: LISTED COMPANIES IN
HOCHIMINH STOCK EXCHANGE
MASTER THESIS
Ho Chi Minh City – 2010
MINISTRY OF EDUCATION AND TRAINING
UNIVERSITY OF ECONOMICS HOCHIMINH CITY
--- oOo ---
HUỲNH ANH KIỆT
CAPITAL STRUCTURE AND FIRM PERFORMANCE:
CASE STUDY: LISTED COMPANIES IN
HOCHIMINH STOCK EXCHANGE
MAJOR: BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION
MAJOR CODE: 60.34.05
MASTER THESIS
INSTRUCTOR : PROFESSOR NGUYỄN ĐÔNG PHONG
Ho Chi Minh City – 2010
i
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
I would like to express my deepest gratitude to my research Instructor, Professor
Nguyen Dong Phong for his intensive support, valuable suggestions, guidance and
encouragement during the course of my study.
My sincere thanks are also due to Dr. Vo Thi Quy and Dr. Tran Ha Minh Quan for
their valuable time as the members of the proposal examination committee. Their
comments and constructive suggestions were of great help in my completing this
study.
My sincere thanks is extended to Assistant Professor Nguyen Dinh Tho, Dr. Tran
Ha Minh Quan, Dr. Truong Tan Thanh, Dr. Pham Huu Hong Thai, Dr. Bui Thanh
Trang for their valuable time as members of examination committee. Their
comments and suggestions were of great value for my study.
I would like to express my sincere gratitude to all of my teachers at Faculty of
Business Administration and Postgraduate Faculty, University of Econimics
Hochiminh City for their teaching and guidance during my MBA course.
I would like to specially express my thanks to all of my classmates, my friends
from www.caohockinhte.vn for their support and encouragement.
I would also like to avail this opportunity to express my appreciation to Professor
Nguyen Dong Phong, UEH Board of Directors for creating MBA program in
English and Dr. Tran Ha Minh Quan for his support during the course.
Finally, I heartily dedicate this study to my beloved parents and my wife, Vu Thi
Huyen who have always sacrificed to encourage and support me during my study.
ii
ABSTRACT
This study investigates the relationship between firm capital structure and firm
performance. The author explores both the effect of firm performance on firm
captial structure as well as the effect of capital structure on firm market
performance using cross-sectional data representing of 162 Vietnamese companies
in Hochiminh Stock Exchange for 2008. According to the results, a firm
profitability is found to have a significant and negative impact on all firm capital
structure. This finding support pecking order theory of Myers and Majluf (1984).
An interesting finding is that firm size has a positive and significant impact on the
leverage, which consistent with a previous study of Rajan and Zingales (1995), and
indicating that a firm size is an important determinant of corporate capital
structure. Firm capital structure is confirmed to have positive and significant
impacts on firm market performance which is measured by Tobin’s Q. The author
also finds that firm growth opportunities have a positive and significant impact on
the firm value Tobin’s Q.
Keywords: Capital structure, corporate performance, Vietnam, HOSE.
iii
TABLE OF CONTENTS
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT .............................................................................................................i
ABSTRACT .................................................................................................................................. ii
TABLE OF CONTENTS ............................................................................................................ iii
LIST OF FIGURES ....................................................................................................................... v
LIST OF TABLES ........................................................................................................................vi
ABBREVIATIONS ..................................................................................................................... vii
CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION ................................................................................................ 1
1.1 BACKGROUND .......................................................................................................................... 1
1.2 RESEARCH PROBLEMS ........................................................................................................... 3
1.3 RESEARCH OBJECTIVES ......................................................................................................... 4
1.4 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY AND SCOPE .......................................................................... 5
1.5 STRUCTURE OF THE STUDY .................................................................................................. 5
CHAPTER 2: LITERATURE REVIEW .................................................................................... 7
2.1 INTRODUCTION ........................................................................................................................ 7
2.2 CAPITAL STRUCTURE ............................................................................................................. 7
2.3 FIRM PERFORMANCE ............................................................................................................ 11
2.4 HYPOTHESIS AND EMPIRICAL MODEL ............................................................................ 12
2.4.1. Model 1: The Leverage Model ......................................................................................... 12
2.4.2. Model 2: The Firm Value Model ..................................................................................... 15
CHAPTER 3: RESEARCH DESIGN ........................................................................................ 18
3.1 INTRODUCTION ...................................................................................................................... 18
3.2 DATA ......................................................................................................................................... 18
3.3 RESEARCH DESIGN ................................................................................................................ 18
3.3.1. Research Sample .............................................................................................................. 19
3.3.2. Data Analysis Method ...................................................................................................... 20
3.4 VARIABLES MEASUREMENT FOR MODEL 1 ................................................................... 20
3.4.1. Dependent Variables ........................................................................................................ 20
3.4.2. Independent Variables ...................................................................................................... 21
3.5 VARIABLES MEASUREMENT FOR MODEL 2 ................................................................... 21
3.5.1. Dependent Variables ........................................................................................................ 21
3.5.2. Independent Variables ...................................................................................................... 22
3.6 FRAMEWORK OF THE STUDY ............................................................................................. 23
3.7 SUMMARY ................................................................................................................................ 24
CHAPTER 4: EMPIRICAL RESULTS OF THE RESEARCH............................................. 25
4.1 INTRODUCTION ...................................................................................................................... 25
4.2 CHARACTERISTICS OF RESEARCH SAMPLES ................................................................. 25
4.3 DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS ................................................................................................... 26
4.4 REGRESSION ANALYSIS ....................................................................................................... 29
4.4.1. Model 1: The Leverage Model ......................................................................................... 29
4.4.2. Model 2: The Firm Value Model ..................................................................................... 32
CHAPTER 5: CONCLUSIONS, RECOMMENDATIONS AND LIMITATIONS .............. 38
5.1 INTRODUCTION ...................................................................................................................... 38
5.2 CONCLUSIONS ........................................................................................................................ 38
iv
5.3 RECOMMENDATIONS ............................................................................................................ 39
5.4 LIMITATIONS .......................................................................................................................... 40
REFERENCES ............................................................................................................................ 41
APPENDIX A ............................................................................................................................... 44
APPENDIX B ............................................................................................................................... 45
APPENDIX C ............................................................................................................................... 51
v
LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 1: The Leverage Model ........................................................................................ 14
Figure 2: The Firm Value Model .................................................................................... 17
Figure 3: Research Process .............................................................................................. 19
Figure 4: Framework of the study .................................................................................. 23
vi
LIST OF TABLES
Table 1: Dependent variables for model 1 ...................................................................... 20
Table 2: Independent variables for model 1 .................................................................. 21
Table 3: Dependent variables for model 2 ...................................................................... 22
Table 4: Independent variables for model 2 .................................................................. 22
Table 5: Summary Statistics of the Explanatory Variables ......................................... 26
Table 6: Correlation Matrix of the Explanatory Variables for Model 1 ..................... 28
Table 7: Correlation Matrix of the Explanatory Variables for Model 2 ..................... 28
Table 8: Estimate Results for Model 1 ............................................................................ 29
Table 9: Estimate Results for Model 2 Using TDTA ..................................................... 32
Table 10: Estimate Results for Model 2 Using TDTE ................................................... 33
Table 11: Estimate Results for Model 2 Using LTDTA ................................................ 34
Table 12: Estimate Results for Model 2 Using STDTA ................................................ 35
vii
ABBREVIATIONS
HOSE Hochiminh Stock Exchange
GROWTH Growth opportunities
LTDTA Long-term debt to total assets
PE Price-to-Earnings Ratio
PROF Profitability
ROA Return on assets
ROE Return on equity
ROI Return on investment
SIZE Firm Size
STDTA Short-term debt to total assets
TA Asset tangibility
TDTE Total debt to total equity
TDTA Total debt to total assets
TOBIN Tobin’s Q
Capital Structure and Firm Performance
Page 1
CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION
1.1 BACKGROUND
The theory of the capital structure is an important reference theory in firm's
financing policy. The capital structure refers to firm includes mixture of debt and
equity financing. The topic of optimal capital structure has been the subject of
many studies.
The modern theory of the capital structure originate from the contribution of
Modigliani and Miller in 1958, under the perfect capital market assumption1
Jensen and Meckling (1976) introduce the concept of agency costs and investigate
the nature of the agency costs generated by the existence of debt and outside
equity. When considering corporation tax, bankrupt costs and agency costs at the
same time, trade-off theory can be introduced to derive the existence of the
optimum capital structure. Leland (1994) extends the results of Merton (1974) and
Black and Cox (1976) to include taxes, bankruptcy costs to derive the optimal
capital structure. Deangelo and Masulis (1980) argue that the existence of non-debt
corporate tax shields such as depreciation deductions is sufficient to overturn the
leverages irrelevancy theorem. Hovakimian, Opler, and Titman (2001) test the
hypothesis that firms tend to a target ratio when they either raise new capital or
retire or repurchase existing capital. They found firms should use relatively more
debt to finance assets in place and relatively more equity to finance growth
opportunities.
that if
there is no bankrupt cost and capital markets are frictionless, if without taxes, the
firm value is independent with the structure of the capital. In 1963, under
considering the corporate taxes, Modigliani and Miller modified the conclusion to
recognize tax shield. Because debt can reduce the tax to pay, so the best capital
structure of enterprises should be 100% of the debt. But this seems to be
unreasonable in the real world.
It has also been argued that profitable firms are less likely to depend on debt in
their capital structure than less profitable ones. It has been argued that firms with a
high growth rate have a high debt to equity ratio. Bankruptcy costs (proxied by
firm size) are also found to be an important effect on capital structure (Kraus and
1 Perfect capital markets means that the following assumptions hold: (a) there are no taxes, (b) there are no
transaction costs, (c) there is symmetrical information, (d) there are homogenous expectations, and (e)
investors can borrow at the same rate as corporations.
Capital Structure and Firm Performance
Page 2
Litzenberger, 1973; Harris and Raviv, 1991). If these three factors are considered
as determinants of capital structure, then these factors could be used to determine
the firm performance.
In practice, firm managers who are able to identify the optimal capital structure are
rewarded by minimizing a firm’s cost of finance thereby maximizing the firm
revenue. If a firm capital structure influences a firm performance, then it is
reasonable to expect that the firm capital structure would affect the firm health and
its likelihood of default. From a creditor’s point view, it is possible that the debt to
equity ratio aids in understanding banks’ risk management strategies and how
banks determine the likelihood of default associated with financially distressed
firms. In short, the issue regarding the capital structure and firm performance are
important for both academics and practitioners.
There is lack of empirical evidence about the effect of firm performance on capital
structure in Vietnam. Then, the first objective of this study is to examine the effect
which firm performance has on capital structure of listed companies in Hochiminh
Stock Exchange. Trần Hùng Sơn and Trần Viết Hoàng (2008) find a positive and
significant impact of firm leverage on firm accounting performance, but have not
used market performance measures. Thus, the second objective of this study is to
examine the effect which firm capital structure has on corporate market
performance.
This study contributes to literature in two directions: (1) by using ordinary least
square regression model to investigate the relationship between capital structure
and firm performance to fill the gap in corporate finance literature in Vietnam; (2)
by employing different measures of capital structure such as short-term debt to
total assets, long-term debt to total assets, total debt to total assets, and total debt to
total equity to investigate the effect of the debt structure on corporate market
performance in Vietnam. This study contributes to practical implications by
investigating the effect of capital structure on corporate performance using market
measures to provides evidence about whether the stock market is efficient or not. It
also provides managers a structure approached to plan their firm capital structure
strategies and improve the firm value.
Capital Structure and Firm Performance
Page 3
1.2 RESEARCH PROBLEMS
Problem definition is essential before conducting a study, especially quantitative
research. Zikmund (1997, p. 82) recommends that formal quantitative research
should not begin until the problem has been clearly defined. In Vietnam, lack of
empirical evidence, that investigate the relationship between firm capital structure
and firm performance, is an issue for both academics and practitioners.
There is lack of empirical evidence that investigate the relationship between firm
capital structure and firm performance in Vietnam. In 2008, Trần Hùng Sơn and
Trần Viết Hoàng tested the relationship between capital structure and firm
performance by using data sample of 50 non-financial companies in Hochiminh
Stock Exchange for the period September 2008. The results show that there is a
positive correlation between a firm capital structure and performance, which is
measured by average of return on assets and return on equity. The corporate
performance has a strong quadratic or cubic correlation with the capital structure
when they use the debt ratio under 100%. The performance has a positive
correlation with the capital structure when the debt ratio is in the range from
0.9755 to 2.799. However, they have not used market performance measures and
have not explored the optimal capital structure to maximize the performance of the
firm. They have not tested the correlation between the distribution of debt ratio and
corporate performance to each type of companies, as well as each industry. Their
research recommended that further research should be implemented.
Margaritis and Psillaki (2007) use a sample of 12,240 firms from the 2004 New
Zealand Annual Enterprise Survey to investigate the effect of leverage on firm
performance as well as the reverse causality relationship. They use quantitative
regression analysis to show that the effect of efficiency on leverage is positive at
low to mid-leverage levels and negative at high leverage ratios. In Vietnam, there
is no empirical evidence related to the effect of firm performance on capital
structure.
Therefore, the problem to be addressed in this study is to examine the effect of firm
performance on firm capital structure combined with others variables such as firm
size, growth and asset tangibility on firm capital structure. In addition, the author
will explore the effect of firm capital structure on firm market performance, known
as firm value of listed firms in Hochiminh Stock Exchange.
Capital Structure and Firm Performance
Page 4
1.3 RESEARCH OBJECTIVES
A research objective is the researcher’s version of a business problem. Objectives
explain the purpose of the research in measurable terms and define standards of
what the research should accomplish (Zikmund 1997, p. 89). In solving the
research problem mentioned previously, this study has the following objectives:
• Determine the effect of firm profitability, size, growth opportunities and
asset tangibility on listed firm capital structure in Hochiminh Stock
Exchange.
• Determine the effect of capital structure on listed firm market performance
combined with others variables such as firm size and growth opportunities
in Hochiminh Stock Exchange.
Research Questions
Research questions involve the research translation of “problem” into the need for
inquiry. The research problems defined above leads to the following research
questions:
• What are the relationship between firm capital structure and firm
profitability, size, growth opportunities and asset tangibility of listed firms
in Hochiminh Stock Exchange?
• What are the relationship between firm capital structure, size, growth
opportunities and firm market performance of listed firms in Hochiminh
Stock Exchange?
Two research variables of the topic:
• Capital structure
• Firm performance
Capital Structure and Firm Performance
Page 5
1.4 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY AND SCOPE
The object of this research is all listed non-financial companies in Hochiminh
Stock Exchange (HOSE) at the end 2008. Sample size: 162 (See more in Chapter
3).
Quantitative research based on ordinary least square regression model to estimate
the relationship between firm profitability, size, growth, asset tangibility and firm
capital structure, as well as the relationship between firm leverage and firm market
firm performance. This model was used in the previous studies of Tian & Zeitun
(2007), Margaritis & Psillaki (2007), Rajan and Zingales (1995).
The author use data analysis tools to implement the research such as: descriptive
statistics, multiple regression models with Eviews 6 for Windows.
1.5 STRUCTURE OF THE STUDY
The structure of the study consist five chapters:
Chapter 1: Introduction
This chapter presents research background of the study, as well as, research
problems, research objectives, research methodology and scope.
Chapter 2: Literature Review
In this chapter, I summary the literature review and present the fundamental ideas
on capital structure, as well as firm performance. This chapter also presents a
research model of the study.
Chapter 3: Research Design
Based on the research objectives and scope, research methodology concerned in
chapter 1, and literature review and empirical model presented in chapter 2, this
chapter particularly presents the research methodology, data, research design and
research process.
Chapter 4: Empirical Results of the Research
Chapter 4 presents the characteristics of research samples and measures concepts
of the research. I use descriptive statistics to explore the features of explanatory
variables, as well as the relationship between each variable in two models.
Capital Structure and Firm Performance
Page 6
Furthermore, I use regression analysis to explore the relationship between the
capital structure and market performance of listed companies in Hochiminh Stock
Exchange.
Chapter 5: Conclusions, Recommendations and Limitations
Chapter 5 presents main conclusions and recommendations based on the results of
the previous chapters, as well as the limitations of this study.
Capital Structure and Firm Performance
Page 7
CHAPTER 2: LITERATURE REVIEW
2.1 INTRODUCTION
Chapter 2 summaries the literature review and present the fundamental ideas on
capital structure, as well as firm performance. This chapter also presents a research
model of the study.
2.2 CAPITAL STRUCTURE
The modern theory of capital structure began with the celebrated paper of
Modigliani and Miller (1958). In this paper they claim that under perfect capital
market conditions, a firm value depends on its operating profitability rather than its
capital structure. In 1963, Modigliani and Miller argued that, when there are
corporate taxes then interest payments are tax deductible, 100% debt financing is
optimal. In this framework, firms target an optimal capital structure based on tax
advantages and financial distress disadvantages. Firms are thought to strive toward
their target and can signal their future prospects by changing their structure.
Adding more debt increases firm value through the market’s perception of higher
tax shields or lower bankruptcy costs. But optimal capital structure at a 100% debt
financing are clearly incompatible with observed capital structures, so their
findings initiated a considerable research effort to identify costs of debt financing
that would offset the corporate tax advantage.
Since bankruptcy costs exist, deteriorating returns occur with further use of debt in
order to get the benefits of tax deduction. Therefore, there is an appropriate capital
structure beyond which increases in bankruptcy costs are higher than the marginal
tax-sheltering benefits associated with the additional substitution of debt for equity.
Firms are willing to maximize their performance, and minimize their financing
cost, by maintaining the appropriate capital structure or the optimal capital
structure. Harris and Raviv (1991) argue that capital structure is related to the
trade-off between costs of liquidation and the gain from liquidation to both
shareholders and managers. So firms may have more debt in their capital structure
than is suitable as it gains benefits for both shareholders and managers.
Since then, extensions of the Modigliani and Miller theory have been provided by
the following researches. Robichek and Myers (1966) argue that the negative effect
Capital Structure and Firm Performance
Page 8
of bankruptcy costs on debt to prevent firms from having the desire to obtain more
debt. Jensen and Meckling (1976) emphasize the importance of the agency costs of
equity in corporate finance arising from the separation of ownership and control of
firms whereby managers tend to maximize their own utility rather than the value of
the firms. The general result of these extensions is that the combination of leverage
related costs (such as bankruptcy and agency costs) and a tax advantage of debt
produces an optimal capital structure at less than a 100% debt financing, as the tax
advantage is traded off against the likelihood of incurring the costs. This leads us to
Jensen’s (1986) “free cash flow theory” where as stated by Jensen (1986, p. 323)
“the problem is how to motivate managers to disgorge the cash rather than
investing it below the cost of capital or wasting it on organizational inefficiencies”.
In other words complete contracts cannot be written. A higher level of leverage
may be used as a disciplinary device to reduce managerial cash flow waste through
the threat of liquidation (Grossman and Hart, 1982) or through pressure to generate
cash flows to service debt (Jensen, 1986).
Titman (1984) demonstrates an idea of indirect bankruptcy costs. He argues that
stakeholders did not represent at the bankruptcy bargaining table, such as
customers, could suffer material costs resulting from the bankruptcy. Leland (1994)
demonstrates a standard trade-off model. At the optimal capital structure, marginal
bankruptcy costs associated with firm’s debt are equated with marginal tax
benefits. The static tradeoff theory is the original retort to the theory of capital
structure relevance.
However, as stated in the previous literature, underestimating the bankruptcy costs
of liquidation or reorganization, or the aligned interest of both managers and
shareholders may lead firms to have more debt in their capital structure than they
should (see, for example, Harris and Raviv, 1991). Krishnan and Moyer, (1997)
find a negative and significant impact of total debt to total equity (TD/TE) on
return on equity (ROE). Another study by Gleason, Mathur and Mathur, (2000)
find that firm capital structure has a negative and significant impact on firm
performance measures return on assets (ROA), growth in sales (Gsales), and pre-
tax income (Ptax). Therefore, high levels of debt in the capital structure would
decrease the firm performance.
However, not only does a firm’s level of leverage affect corporate performance and
failure but also its debt maturity structure (Barclay and Smith, 1995 and Ozkan,
2002). Schiantarelli and Sembenelli (1999) investigate the effects of firm’s debt
maturity structure on profitability for Italy and the United Kingdom. They find a
positive relationship between initial debt maturity and medium term performance.
Capital Structure and Firm Performance
Page 9
A study by Barclay and Smith (1995) provide evidence that large firms and firms
with low growth rates prefer to issue long-term debt. Another study by Stohs and
Mauer (1996) suggest that larger and less risky firms usually make greater use of
long-term debt. They also find that debt maturity is negatively related to corporate
tax, the firm’s risk and earnings surprises. In other words, the choice of debt
structure could have an impact on both corporate performance and failure risk.
Furthermore, there are other factors, besides capital structure, that may influence
firm performance such as firm size, age, growth, risk, tax rate, factors specific to
the sector of economic activity, and factors specific to macroeconomic
environment of the country.
Dilip Ratha, et al (2003) studies the relationship between corporate performance
(as measured by its profit rate or earnings before interest and taxes) and corporate
finance (debt/assets ratio) in developing countries. First, they find out that both
profits and earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization decline as
a percentage of assets as firms take on more debt relative to their assets. This is
similar to the finding of Harvey, Lins, and Roper (2001) that; while some debt may
improve market discipline in firms, the effect may be overcome by increasing
financial risks. Second, the marginal (negative) effect of an increase in leverage on
earnings is larger for firms that participate in international debt markets than for
other firms. However, they have not used market performance measures to study
the relationship of corporate finance and corporate performance.
Wei Xu, et al (2005) analyzes the relationship between corporation performance
and capital structure of 1,130 listed companies in China. The results show that the
firm’s performance has a strong negative correlation with the capital structure. It
does not agree with the western empirical result for the higher debt ratio. The
corporation performance has a strong quadratic or cubic correlation with the capital
structure when they use the debt ratio under 100%. The performance has a positive
correlation with the capital structure when the debt ratio is in the range from
24.52% to 51.13%.
Allan N. Berger, et al (2006) uses a new approach to test agency theory in US
banking industry and the findings are consistent with the agency costs hypothesis -
higher leverage or a lower equity capital ratio is associated with higher profit
efficiency over almost the entire range of the observed data. And the results are
statistically significant, economically significant, and robust.
Margaritis and Psillaki (2007) use a sample of 12,240 firms from the 2004 New
Zealand Annual Enterprise Survey to investigate the relationship between firm
Capital Structure and Firm Performance
Page 10
efficiency and leverage as well as the reverse causality relationship. They find
evidence supporting the theoretical predictions of the Jensen and Meckling (1976)
agency cost model. More precisely, they find support for the core prediction of the
agency cost hypothesis in that higher leverage is associated with improved
efficiency over the entire range of observed data. They use quantitative regression
analysis to show that the effect of efficiency on leverage is positive at low to mid-
leverage levels and negative at high leverage ratios. Thus their results suggest that
in the upper range of the leverage distribution the income effect resulting from the
economic rents generated by high efficiency dominates the substitution effect of
debt for equity capital. They also show that the more efficient firms will choose
higher debt ratios because higher efficiency acts as a buffer against the expected
costs of bankruptcy or financial distress. The effect of tangibles and profitability on
leverage is positive. Firm size has a negative effect on leverage at the lower half of
the leverage distribution and a positive effect at the upper half of the distribution.
The effect of intangibles and other assets is estimated to be negative.
Tian & Zeitun (2007) examine the impact which capital structure has had on
corporate performance in Jordan in which they controlled the effect of industrial
sectors, regional risk, such as the Gulf Crisis 1990-1991 and the outbreak of
Intifadah in the West Bank in September 2000. They have used a cross-sectional
data representing of 167 Jordanian companies during 1989-2003. The results show
that a firm capital structure has a significantly negative impact on the firm
performance measures, in both the accounting and market measures. An interesting
finding is that the short-term debt to total assets level has a significantly positive
effect on the market performance measure (Tobin’s Q), which could to some extent
support Myers (1977) argument that firms with high short-term debt to total assets
have a high growth rate and high performance. Firm size is found to have a positive
impact on a firm performance, as large firms have low bankruptcy costs. The
insignificance of the market performance measure PE indicates that the Jordanian
equity market is not efficient, so the best performance measure is the accounting
performance measure ROA.
In Vietnam, Trần Hùng Sơn and Trần Viết Hoàng (2008) test the relationship
between firm capital structure and performance by using data sample of 50 non-
financial companies in Hochiminh Stock Exchange for the period September 2008.
The results show that there is a positive correlation between a firm capital structure
and performance. The corporation performance has a strong quadratic or cubic
correlation with the capital structure when they use the debt ratio under 100%. The
performance has a positive correlation with the capital structure when the debt ratio
is in the range from 0.9755 to 2.799. State owned ratio has negative impact on firm
Capital Structure and Firm Performance
Page 11
efficiency, but firm growth, size (measured by logarithm of the firm’s assets) and
tangibility had no significant impact on firm performance. However, they have not
used market performance measures and did not explore the optimal capital
structure to maximize the performance of the firm. They have not test the
correlation between the distribution of debt ratio and corporate performance to
each type of companies, as well as each industry.
2.3 FIRM PERFORMANCE
The concept of performance is a controversial issue in finance largely due to its
multidimensional meanings. Research on firm performance emanates from
organization theory and strategic management (Murphy et al., 1996). Performance
measures are either financial or organizational. Financial performance such as
profit maximization, maximizing profit on assets, and maximizing shareholders'
benefits are at the core of the firm effectiveness (Chakravarthy, 1986). Operational
performance measures, such as growth in sales and growth in market share, provide
a broad definition of performance as they focus on the factors that ultimately lead
to financial performance (Hoffer and Sandberg, 1987).
The usefulness of a measure of performance may be affected by the objective of a
firm that could affect its choice of performance measure and the development of
the stock and capital market. For example, if the stock market is not highly
developed and active then the market performance measures will not provide a
good result. The most commonly used performance measure proxies are return on
assets (ROA) and return on equity (ROE) or return on investment (ROI). These
accounting measures representing the financial ratios from balance sheet and
income statements have been used by many researchers (e.g., Demsetz and Lehn,
1985; Gorton and Rosen, 1995; Mehran, 1995; and Ang, Cole and Lin, 2000).
However, there are other measures of performance called market performance
measures, such as price per share to the earnings per share (PE) (Abdel Shahid,
2003), market value of equity to book value of equity (MBVR), and Tobin’s Q.
Tobin’s Q mixes market value with accounting value and is used to measure the
firm's value in many studies (e.g., Morck, Shleifer, and Vishny, 1988; McConnel
and Serveas, 1990; and Zhou, 2001). The performance measure ROA is widely
regarded as the most useful measure to test firm performance (Reese and Cool,
1978; Long and Ravenscraft, 1984; Abdel Shahid, 2003, among others). The stock
Capital Structure and Firm Performance
Page 12
market efficiency and other economic and political factors could affect a firm
performance and its reliability (See Abdel Shahid, 2003).
Firm performance may also affect the choice of capital structure. As Berger and
Bonaccorsi di Patti (2006) point out, regressions of firm performance on leverage
may confound the effects of capital structure on performance with the reverse
relationship from performance on capital structure. This reverse causality effect is
in essence a feature of theories considering how agency costs (Jensen and
Meckling, 1976; Myers, 1977; and Harris and Raviv, 1990); corporate control
issues (Harris and Raviv, 1988); and in particular, asymmetric information (Myers
and Majluf, 1984; Myers, 1984) and taxation (DeAngelo and Masulis, 1980; and
Bradley et al., 1984) are likely to affect the value of the firm.
2.4 HYPOTHESIS AND EMPIRICAL MODEL
2.4.1. Model 1: The Leverage Model
Profitability (PROF) is used to measure firm performance to test the impact of firm
performance on firm capital structure. Profitability is calculated by pre-interest and
pre-tax operating surplus plus depreciation divided by total assets. There are
conflicting theoretical predictions on the effects of profitability on leverage (Harris
and Raviv, 1991; Rajan and Zingales, 1995; Barclay and Smith, 2001; and Booth et
al., 2001). Myers and Majluf (1984) predict a negative relationship because they
argue that firms will prefer to finance new investments with internal funds rather
than debt. According to their pecking order theory, because of signaling and
asymmetric information problems, firms financing choices follow a hierarchy in
which internal cash flows (retained earnings) are preferred over external funds, and
debt is preferred over equity financing. Thus, they argue, we should expect a
negative relationship between past profitability and leverage. On the other hand,
using arguments based on the trade-off and contracting cost theories we can predict
a positive relation between profitability and leverage. For example, the trade-off
theory suggests that the optimal capital structure for any particular firm will reflect
the balance (at the margin) between the tax shield benefits of debt and the
increasing agency and financial distress costs associated with high debt levels
(Jensen and Meckling, 1976; Myers, 1977; and Harris and Raviv, 1990). Similarly,
Jensen (1986) argue that if the market for corporate control is effective and forces
firms to pay out cash by levering up, then there will be a positive correlation
between profitability and leverage. Thus, the hypothesis 1 is:
Capital Structure and Firm Performance
Page 13
H1: The firm profitability has a positive correlation with firm capital structure.
Growth opportunities (GROWTH) are likely to put a strain on retained earnings
and push the firm into borrowing (Michaelas et al., 1999). On the other hand,
Myers (1977) argues that firms with growth potential will tend to have lower
leverage. He argues that growth opportunities can produce moral hazard effects and
can push firms to take more risk. This may explain why firms with ample growth
opportunities may be considered as risky and thus face difficulties in raising debt
capital on favorable terms. Thus, hypothesis 2 can be stated as follows:
H2: Growth opportunities decrease firm leverage.
Firm size (SIZE) is measured by the logarithm of the firm’s sales (Titman and
Wessels, 1988; Rajan and Zingales, 1995; and Ozkan, 2001). As larger firms are
more diversified and tend to fail less often than smaller ones, I would expect that
size will be positively related to leverage. However, Rajan and Zingales (1995)
discuss the possibility that size may also be negatively correlated with leverage.
They argue that size may act as a proxy for the information outside investors have,
and that informational asymmetries are lower for large firms which implies that
large firms should be in a better position to issue informational sensitive securities
such as equity rather than debt. Thus, hypothesis 3 can be stated as:
H3: Firm size is expected to have a positive influence on a firm capital structure.
Asset Tangibility (TA) is measured by the ratio of fixed tangible to total assets
(Titman and Wessels, 1988; Rajan and Zingales, 1995; Frank and Goyal, 2003; and
Hall et al., 2004). The existence of asymmetric information and agency costs may
induce lenders to require guarantees materialized in collateral (Myers, 1977; Scott,
1977; and Harris and Raviv, 1990). For example, if a firm retains large investments
in land, equipment and other tangible assets, it will normally face smaller funding
costs compared to a firm that relies primarily on intangible assets. Moreover,
Berger and Udell (1994) show that firms with close relationship with creditors need
to provide less collateral. They argue this is because the relationship (and more
informed monitoring by creditors) substitutes for physical collateral. If so, I should
find tangibility mattering less in the “bank oriented” countries. Thus, I would
expect that tangibility should be positively related to debt. And, hypothesis 4 is:
H4: Asset Tangibility is expected to be positively related to corporate leverage.
I use the basic ordinary least squares regression model to test the hypotheses that a
firm profitability, growth opportunities, size, asset tangibility influence its capital
structure for my data. The empirical models to be estimated as follows:
Capital Structure and Firm Performance
Page 14
Model 1: yi = β0 + β1PROFi + β2Growthi + β3Sizei + β4TAi + u
Where i refers to the individual companies, and y is leverage for firm i. The
independent variables are represented by Prof, Growth, Size and TA. Four
measures of leverage are used in the study: total debt to total assets (TDTA), total
debt to total equity (TDTE), long-term debt to total assets (LTDTA), short-term
debt to total assets (STDTA).
i
Based on the hypotheses, the author presents the leverage model (Figure 1):
• Dependent variable: Firm Capital Structure is alternatively measured by
total debt to total assets (TDTA), total debt to total equity (TDTE), long-
term debt to total assets (LTDTA), short-term debt to total assets (STDTA).
• Independent variables: Firm Profitability, Firm Growth, Firm Size, Firm
Asset Tangibility.
Firm Profitability
(PROF)
Firm Growth
(Growth)
Firm Size
(Size)
Firm Asset
Tangibility (TA)
Firm Leverage
(TDTA, TDTE,
STDTA, LTDTA)
H1
H2
H3
H4
Figure 1: The Leverage Model
Capital Structure and Firm Performance
Page 15
2.4.2. Model 2: The Firm Value Model
A firm performance could be affected by the capital structure choice and by the
structure of debt maturity. Debt maturity affects a firm investment options. Also,
the tax rate is expected to have an impact on a firm performance. So, investigating
the impact of capital structure variables on a firm performance will provide
evidence of the effect of capital structure on firm performance.
The author uses two measures of corporate market performance, known as firm
value: market value of equity plus book value of debt to the book value of assets
(Tobin’s Q), and price per share to the earnings per share (PE). Tobin’s Q has been
used as a major indicator of firm performance. Even Tobin’s Q, as agreed by many
researchers, is a noisy signal. Because of the limitations of Tobin’s Q, other
performance measures, PE is employed as supplementary measures. Using market
measures of performance may shed light on the stock market activity and if there is
other factors that may affect corporate performance.
If capital structure does affect a firm performance and value, then a strong
correlation between the firm performance and capital structure would be found. So,
I argue that a firm debt ratio affects its performance and value negatively.
Furthermore, it has been argued that short-term debt influences a firm performance
negatively, because short-term debt exposes firms to the risk of refinancing. It is
expected that the debt maturity ratios (short-term debt and long-term debt) will
have a significant impact on corporate performance because of the banking credit
policy. Thus, the hypothesis is:
H5: A firm capital structure does influence its market performance.
Myers (1977) argues that firms with high growth opportunities have high agency
costs of debt and will be able to borrow less. In contrast, the pecking order theory
suggests that high growth firms have a greater need for funds and therefore can be
expected to borrow more. Wei Xu (2005) shows that there is a strong positive
correlation between growth and return on equity (ROE). So, it is expected that
firms with high growth opportunities have a high value, as growth firms are able to
generate profit from investment. Growth opportunities are expected to positively
affect a firm market performance. Thus, hypothesis 6 can be stated as follows:
H6: Growth opportunities increase firm market performance.
A firm size is measured by log of sales (SIZE). The firm size is hypothesized to be
positively related to the firm performance, as bankruptcy costs decrease with size.
Capital Structure and Firm Performance
Page 16
Thus, a firm size is expected to have a positive influence on a firm performance,
because potential bankruptcy costs make up a smaller proportion of value for larger
firms. In addition, there are economies of scale in transactions costs associated with
long-term debt that are not available to smaller firms. Gleason, among others, finds
that firm size has a positive and significant effect on firm performance (ROA).
Tian & Zeitun (2007) find that firm size has a positive and significant impact on
firm performance ROA, PROF, and Tobin’s Q. In contrast, many other researchers
such as Mudambi and Nicosia (1998), Lauterbach and Vaninsky (1999), Durand
and Coeuderoy (2001), and Tzelepis and Skuras (2004) have found an insignificant
effect of firm size on the firm performance. Based on this discussion, hypothesis 7
can be stated as:
H7: A firm size is expected to have a positive influence on a firm market
performance.
I use the basic ordinary least squares regression model to test the hypotheses that a
firm capital structures influence its market performance for my data. The empirical
models to be estimated as follows:
Model 2: yi = β0 + β1Leveragei + β2Growthi + β3Sizei + u
Where i refers to the individual companies, y is alternatively Tobin’s Q, PE, for
firm i as a measure of market performance. The independent variables are
represented by Leverage, Growth and Size. Four measures of leverage are used in
the study: total debt to total assets (TDTA), total debt to total equity (TDTE), long-
term debt to total assets (LTDTA), short-term debt to total assets (STDTA). I use
more than one proxy for leverage as different hypotheses for leverage were
developed to investigate their effect on corporate value. For example, the STDTA
and LTDTA are used to investigate the effect of short-term and long-term debt on a
firm performance. The proxy of TDTE was used in the study to validate the result.
i
Based on the hypotheses, the author presents the empirical model (Figure 2):
• Dependent variable: Firm Value is alternatively measured by Tobin’s Q, PE.
• Independent variables: Firm Leverage, Firm Growth, Firm Size.
Capital Structure and Firm Performance
Page 17
Firm Leverage
(Leverage)
Firm Growth
(Growth)
Firm Size
(Size)
Firm Value
(Tobin’s Q, PE)
H5
H6
H7
Figure 2: The Firm Value Model
Capital Structure and Firm Performance
Page 18
CHAPTER 3: RESEARCH DESIGN
3.1 INTRODUCTION
Based on the research objectives and scope, research methodology concerned in
chapter 1, and literature review and empirical model presented in chapter 2, this
chapter particularly presents the research methodology, data, research design and
research process.
3.2 DATA
As mentioned in the chapter 1, the author was interested in examining the
relationship between firm profitability, size, growth opportunities, asset tangibility
and capital structure, as well as exploring the effect of capital structure on
corporate market performance of listed firms in Hochiminh Stock Exchange.
This study used the accounting and market data of 171 listed companies in the
Hochiminh Stock Exchange (HOSE) for the period 2008. The data set contained
detailed information of each firm. The items of interest were: balance sheets,
income statements, interest paid, depreciation, and market valuation. By law, the
full financial statements were available from firms. This data set was collected
from Vietnam Financial Information Company website (www.vinabull.com)
3.3 RESEARCH DESIGN
This study was a quantitative research based on ordinary least square regression
model to estimate the relationship between firm profitability, size, growth
opportunities, asset tangibility and capital structure, and the effect of capital
structure on corporate market performance. The research process was presented as
figure 3:
Capital Structure and Firm Performance
Page 19
3.3.1. Research Sample
As mentioned in the Chapter 1, I was interested in examining the relationship
between firm profitability, size, growth opportunities, asset tangibility and capital
structure, as well as explore the effect of capital structure on corporate market
performance of listed firms in Hochiminh Stock Exchange.
Literature Review
(Capital Structure, Firm Performance, Hypotheses, Model)
Colleting financial statement of 171 companies
in HOSE (n=171)
Test the regression model
(Adjust the sample to n=162)
Quantitative research:
• Sample size: 162
• Calculating the data set from the financial
statement.
• Encode and input the data set
• Descriptive Statistics
• Regression Analysis
Writing the report
Figure 3: Research Process
Capital Structure and Firm Performance
Page 20
The author used a sample of 171 companies listed in Hochiminh Stock Exchange
from the 2008 Annual Enterprise Financial Statements. The financial statements,
which I needed for the study, contained: balance sheets and income statement. I
also collected the market valuation of these companies stock in HOSE on 31
December 2008, in order to measure Tobin’s Q and price per share to the earnings
per share (PE) of corporate market value performance.
After collecting the data set, the author excluded 7 financial companies, such as
banks, insurance firms, funds and financial firms, in this analysis as their
characteristics are different. Two manufacturing corporations, Bach Tuyet Cotton
Corporation (BBT) and Tribeco Saigon Beverages Joint Stock Company (TRI),
were also excluded from the data set. Bach Tuyet Cotton Corporation had failed to
deliver its statement for 2008, while the equity of Tribeco Saigon Beverages Joint
Stock Company was negative in its balance sheets due to its bad business in 2008.
Consequently, the final data set included 162 listed companies in HOSE.
3.3.2. Data Analysis Method
After having the final data set, I used formulas that are defined in the Appendix A
to calculate the explanatory variables. Subsequently, I encoded and input data by
Eviews 6 for Windows.
3.4 VARIABLES MEASUREMENT FOR MODEL 1
3.4.1. Dependent Variables
I used total debt to total assets (TDTA), total debt to total equity (TDTE), long-
term debt to total assets (LTDTA), short-term debt to total assets (STDTA) as
proxies for firm leverage. These proxies could be easily collected from the balance
sheet. These measures were used by Zeitun and Tian (2007).
Table 1: Dependent variables for model 1
Firm’s Capital Structure Symbol
Total Debt to Total Assets TDTA
Total Debt to Total Equity TDTE
Long-term Debt to Total Assets LTDTA
Short-term Debt to Total Assets STDTA
Capital Structure and Firm Performance
Page 21
3.4.2. Independent Variables
Profitability was measured by pre-interest and pre-tax operating surplus plus
depreciation divided by total assets. Profitability was used by many researchers
(Titman and Wessels, 1988; and Fama and French, 2002; Margaritis and Psillaki,
2007).
Growth opportunities were measured by growth of assets and were defined by book
value of total assets minus book value of equity plus market value of equity divided
by the book value of total assets. Growth opportunities were presented by Myers
(1977) and were used by many researchers (e.g., Zeitun and Tian, 2007, Wei Xu,
2005, Margaritis and Psillaki, 2007).
Firm size was defined by log of sales. These measures were used by many
researchers (e.g., Mudambi and Nicosia, 1998, Lauterbach and Vaninsky, 1999,
Durand and Coeuderoy, 2001, Tzelepis and Skuras, 2004).
Asset Tangibility was defined by the ratio of fixed tangible assets to total assets.
These measures were used by many researchers (e.g., Titman and Wessels, 1988,
Rajan and Zingales, 1995, Frank and Goyal, 2003, Hall et al., 2004).
Table 2: Independent variables for model 1
Independent Variables Symbol
Firm performance was defined by Profitability PROF
Growth Opportunities GROWTH
Firm Size SIZE
Asset Tangibility TA
3.5 VARIABLES MEASUREMENT FOR MODEL 2
3.5.1. Dependent Variables
In order to investigate whether the market performance measures were explained
by capital structure, I used market value of equity plus book value of debt to the
book value of assets (Tobin’s Q), and price per share to the earnings per share (PE)
as proxies for firm value. These measures were used to measure firm value in many
studies (e.g., Morck, Shleifer, and Vishny, 1988, McConnel and Serveas, 1990, and
Zhou, 2001).
Capital Structure and Firm Performance
Page 22
Table 3: Dependent variables for model 2
Firm’s Performance Symbol
Market value of equity plus book value of debt to the
book value of assets
TOBIN
Price per share to the earnings per share PE
3.5.2. Independent Variables
I used total debt to total assets (TDTA), total debt to total equity (TDTE), long-
term debt to total assets (LTDTA), short-term debt to total assets (STDTA) as
proxies for firm leverage.
Others independent variables such as firm size (SIZE) and growth opportunities
(GROWTH) were the same as independent variables in Model 1.
Table 4: Independent variables for model 2
Independent Variables Symbol
Total Debt to Total Assets TDTA
Total Debt to Total Equity TDTE
Long-term Debt to Total Assets LTDTA
Short-term Debt to Total Assets STDTA
Growth Opportunities GROWTH
Firm Size SIZE
Capital Structure and Firm Performance
Page 23
3.6 FRAMEWORK OF THE STUDY
The framework of the study was presented as figure 4:
RESEARCH PROBLEM
LITERATURE REVIEW
HYPOTHESES
REGRESSION
ANALYSIS
DESCRIPTIVE
STATISTICS
CONCLUSIONS,
RECOMMENDATIONS
AND LIMITATIONS
EMPIRICAL MODEL
INTRODUCTION
RESEARCH
QUESTIONS
RESEARCH
OBJECTIVES
Figure 4: Framework of the study
Capital Structure and Firm Performance
Page 24
3.7 SUMMARY
The study was done by quantitative research method with sample size 162. The
object of the study was all companies listed on Hochiminh Stock Exchange for the
period 2008. The performance factors were measured by market value of equity
plus book value of debt to the book value of assets (Tobin’s Q) and price per share
to the earnings per share (PE). The leverage factors were measured by total debt to
total assets (TDTA), total debt to total equity (TDTE), long-term debt to total
assets (LTDTA), short-term debt to total assets (STDTA). The author also used
other variables to investigate their effect on corporate performance and corporate
capital structure: firm growth opportunities (GROWTH), firm size (SIZE) and
asset tangibility (TA).
Capital Structure and Firm Performance
Page 25
CHAPTER 4: EMPIRICAL RESULTS OF THE RESEARCH
4.1 INTRODUCTION
Chapter 4 presents the characteristics of research samples and measures concepts
of the research. The author used descriptive statistics to explore the features of
explanatory variables, as well the relationship between each variables in two
models. Furthermore, the author used regression analysis to explore the
relationship between the capital structure and market performance of listed
companies in Hochiminh Stock Exchange.
4.2 CHARACTERISTICS OF RESEARCH SAMPLES
The research samples included 162 listed companies in Hochiminh Stock
Exchange. In these 162 samples, there were 05 companies in Travel & Leisure
Sector; 01 company in Tobacco Sector; 02 companies in Technology Hardware &
Equipment Sector; 01 company in Software & Computer Services Sector; 07
companies in Real Estate Sector; 06 companies in Pharmaceuticals &
Biotechnology Sector; 04 companies in Personal Goods; 01 company in Oil
Equipment Services & Distribution; 03 companies in Mining Sector; 01 company
in Media Sector; 01 Companies in Leisure Goods Sector; 18 companies in
Industrial Transportation Sector; 03 companies in Industrial Metals Sector; 02
companies in Industrial Engineering Sector; 09 companies in Household Goods
Sector; 11 companies in General Retailers Sector; 09 companies in General
Industrials Sector; 05 companies in Gas, Water & Multi-utilities Sector; 02
companies in Forest & Paper Sector; 27 companies in Food Producers Sector, 05
companies in Electronic & Electrical Equipment Sector; 05 companies in
Electricity Sector; 06 companies in Chemicals Sector; 26 companies in
Construction & Materials Sector; 01 company in Beverages Sector; 01 company in
Automobiles & Parts Sector. In these samples, the Food Producers Sector gains the
highest ratio: 16.7%; next is Construction & Materials Sector: 16% (See more in
Appendix C).
Capital Structure and Firm Performance
Page 26
4.3 DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS
Table 5: Summary Statistics of the Explanatory Variables
Variable Mean Median Max Min Std. Dev. Skewness Kurtosis Jarque-Bera Probability
TDTA 0.432888 0.450650 0.866500 0.030900 0.224362 -0.001167 1.928074 7.755954 0.020693
TDTE 1.246424 0.834100 6.489800 0.031900 1.364461 2.040727 7.184002 230.6079 0.000000
LTDTA 0.104263 0.031900 0.693000 0.000000 0.153879 1.914029 5.994398 159.4380 0.000000
STDTA 0.328623 0.310200 0.855300 0.028100 0.196542 0.514847 2.454419 9.166013 0.010224
TOBIN 1.205579 1.002500 5.381400 0.213100 0.783774 2.676495 13.36807 919.0215 0.000000
PE 24.30095 6.662800 1,128.516 -436.7769 112.3259 6.403847 63.90002 26,141.73 0.000000
PROF 14.08572 11.94895 103.0916 -14.98230 12.46333 2.626848 18.86718 1,885.738 0.000000
GROWTH 1.077432 0.931100 4.549500 0.429800 0.609185 3.334689 16.53316 1,536.483 0.000000
SIZE 26.91065 26.88145 30.43010 24.11910 1.186553 0.178563 2.945791 0.880720 0.643805
TA 0.229886 0.168400 0.987000 0.001100 0.206125 1.459111 5.160072 88.97803 0.000000
Note: TDTA = total debt to total assets; TDTE = total debt to total equity; LTDTA = long-term debt to total assets; STDTA = short-tern
debt to total assets; TOBIN = equity market value + liabilities book value / equity book value + liabilities book value; PE = market
price of common stock / earnings per share; PROF = ebit + depreciation / total assets; GROWTH = total assets - book value of equity +
market value of equity / total assets; SIZE = ln(sales); TA= fixed tangible assets / total assets.
Table 5 reported summary statistics for the variables used in the study. The total
debt to total assets (TDTA) for the sample as a whole was 43.28%, minimum was
3.09%, maximum was 86.65% and standard deviation of TDTA was 22.43%. This
ratio was lower than the average TDTA ratio of East Asia companies (54%) and
nearly equalled to the average TDTA ratio of Latin America companies (45%)
(Dilip Ratha, et al, 20032). The average TDTA ratio of Chinese companies on
Shenzhen listed market and Shanghai listed market is 49.83% (Wei Xu, et al,
2005)3 is slightly higher than Vietnamese companies in Hochiminh Stock
Exchange. If we compared to the international data in Rajan and Zingales (1995)4
The average total debt to total equity (TDTE) was about 124.64%, minimum was
3.19%, maximum was 648.98% and standard deviation of TDTE was 136.44%. If
we compared to the international data in Rajan and Zingales (1995)
,
Vietnamese companies can be regarded as relatively high in term of TDTA (i.e.,
43% versus 31% (United States); 35% (Japan); 20% (Germany); 26% (France);
28% (Italy); 21% (United Kingdom); 36% (Canada)).
5
2 Figure 5.6, p.112
, Vietnamese
companies could be regarded as lower than G7 countries in term of TDTE (i.e.,
125% versus 194% (United States); 201% (Japan); 257% (Germany); 220%
(France); 206% (Italy); 136% (United Kingdom); 151% (Canada)).
3 Table 1, row Debt (average), p.51
4 Table III, Panel A, column Debt to total assets (means), p.40
5 Table II, calculated by liabilities - total divide shareholders equity, p.39
Capital Structure and Firm Performance
Page 27
The average long-term debt to total assets (LTDTA) was 10.42%, minimum was
0.00%, maximum was 69.30% and standard deviation was 15.38%. This ratio was
higher than the average LTDTA ratio of Chinese companies (6.62%) (Wei Xu, et
al, 2005)6. The average short-term debt to total assets (STDTA) was about 32.86%,
minimum was 2.81%, maximum was 85.53% and standard deviation of STDTA
was 19.65%. The average STDTA of Vietnamese companies was lower than the
average STDTA ratio of Chinese companies (43.21%) (Wei Xu, et al, 2005)7. If
we compared to the G7 countries data in Rajan and Zingales (1995), ratio of
Vietnamese companies LTDTA was relatively low8
The descriptive data of leverage indicated that Vietnamese companies in
Hochiminh Stock Exchange reply on short-term debt than long-term debt as the
main source of fund for their business operations. Since stock markets, bond
markets and Mutual Funds markets was undeveloped, commercial banking systems
play an important role in providing lending to Vietnamese firms.
(i.e., 10.42% versus 33%
(United States); 25% (Japan and France); 42% (Germany); 24% (Italy); 18%
(United Kingdom); 37.2% (Canada)). In term of STDTA (32.86%), the STDTA of
Vietnamese companies was similar to United States (33%), slightly higher than
Germany (30%), relatively higher than Canada (23%), and lower than the rest of
countries (i.e., 42% (Japan); 43% (France and Italy); 40% (United Kingdom)).
The average value of Tobin’s Q was 1.2, minimum was 0.21, maximum was 5.38
and standard deviation was 0.78. This market performance measure was lower than
the average Tobin’s Q of Jordanian companies on Amman Stock Exchange (Tian
& Zeitun, 2007)9. The average value of PE was about 24.3, minimum was -436.77,
maximum was 1128.51 and standard deviation was 112.32. Compared to Jordanian
companies of Tian & Zeitun (2007)10
, PE of Vietnamese companies was slightly
higher (i.e., 24.3 versus 21.25).
6 Table 1, row Ldebt (average), p.51
7 Table 1, calculated by minus average debt to average ldebt, p.51
8 Table II, calculated by average liabilities - total minus average current liabilities – total, p.39
9 Table 1, row Tobin’s Q (mean), p.48
10 Table 1, row PE (mean), p.48
Capital Structure and Firm Performance
Page 28
Table 6: Correlation Matrix of the Explanatory Variables for Model 1
PROF GROWTH SIZE TA
PROF 1
GROWTH 0.461739 1
SIZE -0.071749 -0.002035 1
TA 0.136078 0.102802 -0.114289 1
Note: PROF = ebit + depreciation / total assets; GROWTH = total assets - book value of equity
+ market value of equity / total assets; SIZE = ln(sales); TA= fixed tangible assets / total assets.
Table 7: Correlation Matrix of the Explanatory Variables for Model 2
TDTA TDTE LTDTA STDTA GROWTH SIZE
TDTA 1
TDTE 0.845076 1
LTDTA 0.512491 0.480281 1
STDTA 0.740290 0.588665 -0.197898 1
GROWTH -0.063144 0.044704 0.060870 -0.119728 1
SIZE 0.261731 0.196178 0.036044 0.270581 -0.002035 1
Note: TDTA = total debt to total assets; TDTE = total debt to total equity; LTDTA = long-term debt to total assets;
STDTA = short-tern debt to total assets; GROWTH = total assets - book value of equity + market value of equity / total
assets; SIZE = ln(sales); TA= fixed tangible assets / total assets.
The correlation matrix for the variables in the reported in Table 6 in order to
examine the correlation between the explanatory variables for model 1. The results
show that there was a positive relationship between growth and profitability,
growth and asset tangibility, except size, which was negative, while size had a
negative relationship with profitability and asset tangibility. This implied that
companies with high growth opportunities had higher profitability ratio, but
companies with smaller size in sales had higher profitability for the period 2008. It
also implied that small firms had high growth opportunity which was consistent
with Myers (1977). This result was similar to the result of Tian & Zeitun (2007)
research.
The correlation matrix for the variables in the reported in Table 7 in order to
examine the correlation between the explanatory variables for model 2. The results
showed that there was a positive relationship between growth and TDTE, growth
and LTDTA, while TDTA and STDTA had a negative relationship with growth.
Firm size had a positive relationship with all leverage ratios. This implied that
Vietnamese companies with high growth opportunities generally use more long-
term debt and use less short-term debt for financing. It is also implied that larger
companies in sales tend to have higher leverage ratio than smaller ones.
Capital Structure and Firm Performance
Page 29
4.4 REGRESSION ANALYSIS
4.4.1. Model 1: The Leverage Model
Table 8: Estimate Results for Model 1
TDTA TDTE LTDTA STDTA
Constant -0.873102 -4.622503 -0.241070 -0.632159
PROF -0.005438 -0.036765 -0.002539 -0.002899
t-Statistic -3.640823 -3.985310 -2.623803 -2.207294
Prob. 0.0004 0.0001 0.0096 0.0287
GROWTH 0.022092 0.421161 0.026783 -0.004691
t-Statistic 0.726986 2.244020 1.360481 -0.175562
Prob. 0.4683 0.0262 0.1756 0.8609
SIZE 0.048965 0.213809 0.009991 0.038979
t-Statistic 3.512934 2.483681 1.106431 3.180438
Prob. 0.0006 0.0141 0.2702 0.0018
TA 0.17883 0.779893 0.362726 -0.183887
t-Statistic 2.212831 1.562532 6.928428 -2.587811
Prob. 0.0284 0.1202 0.0000 0.0106
No. Observations 162 162 162 162
R-squared 0.162133 0.135869 0.252491 0.155863
Adjusted R-squared 0.140786 0.113853 0.233446 0.134356
S.E of regression 0.207970 1.284441 0.134726 0.182863
Sum squared resid 6.790464 259.016600 2.849721 5.249888
Log likelihood 27.07020 -267.8810 97.40235 47.91251
F-statistic 7.595122 6.171335 13.25770 7.247170
Prob (F-statistic) 0.000013 0.000123 0.000000 0.000022
Mean dependent var 0.432888 1.246424 0.104263 0.328623
S.D. dependent var 0.224362 1.364461 0.153879 0.196542
Akaike info criterion -0.272472 3.368901 -1.140770 -0.529784
Schwarz criterion -0.177175 3.464198 -1.045474 -0.434488
Hannan-Quinn criter. -0.233780 3.407593 -1.102078 -0.491092
Durbin-Watson stat 1.964366 1.876261 1.955806 2.203875
Note TDTA = total debt to total assets; TDTE = total debt to total equity; LTDTA = long-term debt to total assets; STDTA =
short-tern debt to total assets; PROF = ebit + depreciation / total assets; GROWTH = total assets - book value of equity +
market value of equity / total assets; SIZE = ln(sales); TA= fixed tangible assets / total assets.
Capital Structure and Firm Performance
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The results of the estimation of model 1 with each of the leverage measures and for
the full sample of observations for the period 2008 were displayed in Table 8.
From Hypothesis 1, the firm profitability has a positive correlation with firm
capital structure. Four capital structure variables were used, TDTA, TDTE,
LTDTA, and STDTA. From the regression results in Table 8, the coefficient of
profitability variable was negatively and significantly related to those variables.
This result was contrary to the predictions of trade-off theory but consistent with
the pecking order theory. According to this theory, companies prioritized their
sources of financing (from internal financing to equity) according to the law of
least effort, or of least resistance, preferring to raise equity as a financing means of
last resort. Hence, internal funds were used first, and when that was depleted, debt
was issued, and when it was not sensible to issue any more debt, equity was issued.
Jensen (1986) predicted that if the market of corporate control was effective, the
relationship between profitability and leverage was positive. If it was ineffective,
however, managers of profitable firms prefer to avoid the disciplinary role of debt,
which would lead to a negative correlation between profitability and debt. Finally,
the result indicated that corporate control of Vietnamese firms was ineffective, and
the profitability was negatively correlated with leverage. If in the short run,
dividends and investments were fixed, and if debt financing was the dominant
mode of external financing, then changed in profitability would be negatively
correlated with changes in leverage. Therefore, based on the result, I rejected the
Hypothesis 1: the firm profitability has a positive correlation with firm capital
structure.
Hypothesis 2 predicts that growth opportunities decrease firm leverage. From the
regression results in Table 8, the coefficient of growth opportunities was
negatively and insignificantly related to STDTA. However, growth opportunities
was positively and significantly correlation with TDTE, while the coefficient of
growth opportunities was found to be positively related to TDTA and LTDTA, but
statistically insignificant. These findings were inconsistent with the Myers (1977)
and predicted that Vietnamese firms with expected growth opportunities would
maintain low short-term debt levels, but the growth opportunities also put pressure
on retained earnings and pushed Vietnamese firms into borrowing long-term debt.
According to the result above, I rejected the Hypothesis 2: growth opportunities
decrease firm leverage.
From Hypothesis 3, the firm size is expected to have a positive influence on a firm
capital structure. From the regression results in Table 8, Size was found to have a
positive and significant effect on the leverage measures TDTA, TDTE, STDTA,
but was not significantly related to LTDTA leverage measure. An explanation for
the positive effect of size on leverage was provided by Rajan and Zingales (1995)
that larger firms were better diversified and had a lower probability of being in
financial distress or safeguard against the expected costs of bankruptcy. Lower
expected bankruptcy costs enabled them to take on more leverage. Size might be a
Capital Structure and Firm Performance
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proxy for the (inverse) probability of default. If so, it should not be strongly
positively related with leverage in countries, where costs of financial distress were
low. The results indicated that the financial distress costs of Vietnamese companies
in HOSE were low and Vietnamese companies with higher sizes of sales would
use more debt to finance their operating. Therefore, based on the result, I accepted
the Hypothesis 3: the firm size is expected to have a positive influence on a firm
capital structure.
Hypothesis 4 predicted that asset tangibility is expected to be positively related to
corporate leverage. From the regression results in Table 8, the coefficient of assets
tangibility was negative and significantly related to STDTA. This result showed
that if firm tangible assets were large, the ratio of short-term debt to total assets
would be lower. However, the asset tangibility had positive and significant impact
on TDTA and LTDTA, but was insignificantly related to TDTE. This findings was
consistent with Rajan and Zingales (1995), Margaritis and Psillaki (2007). They
argued that if a large fraction of a firm's assets are tangible, then assets should
serve as collateral, diminishing the risk of the lender suffering the agency costs of
debt (like risk shifting). They should also retain more value in liquidation.
Therefore, the greater the proportion of tangible assets on the balance sheet (fixed
assets divided by total assets), the more willing should lenders be to supply loans,
and leverage should be higher. So, the result of regression model showed that
Vietnamese companies had high ratio of fixed assets to total assets would use more
long-term debt as a main source of financing. Therefore, based on the result, I
accepted the Hypothesis 4: asset tangibility is expected to be positively related to
corporate leverage.
To summarize, the firm profitability was a significant determinant of firm capital
structure. This finding supported the argument that firm profitability decrease firm
leverage level. Another important finding was that firm size had a positive and
significant impact on the leverage measures TDTA, TDTE, STDTA. Furthermore,
the firm asset tangibility increased the firm leverage level. The regression results
also showed that growth opportunities had significant impact only on Vietnamese
firm total debt to total equity.
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4.4.2. Model 2: The Firm Value Model
Table 9: Estimate Results for Model 2 Using TDTA
TOBIN PE
Constant 1.020104 136.8876
TDTA -2.011764 26.45088
t-Statistic -281.7428 0.641030
Prob. 0.0000 0.5224
GROWTH 1.005241 4.676144
t-Statistic 396.0540 0.318812
Prob. 0.0000 0.7503
SIZE -0.000993 -4.796432
t-Statistic -0.737274 -0.615972
Prob. 0.4620 0.5388
No. Observations 162 162
R-squared 0.999388 0.004436
Adjusted R-squared 0.999376 -0.014467
S.E of regression 0.019578 113.1355
Sum squared resid 0.060559 2022342
Log likelihood 409.3622 -993.8739
F-statistic 85960.14 0.234694
Prob (F-statistic) 0.000000 0.872090
Mean dependent var 1.205579 24.30095
S.D. dependent var 0.783774 112.3259
Akaike info criterion -5.004471 12.31943
Schwarz criterion -4.928234 12.39567
Hannan-Quinn criter. -4.973518 12.35038
Durbin-Watson stat 2.209864 2.063560
Note: TOBIN = equity market value + liabilities book value / equity book value + liabilities book
value; PE = market price of common stock / earnings per share; TDTA = total debt to total assets;
GROWTH = total assets - book value of equity + market value of equity / total assets; SIZE =
ln(sales).
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Table 10: Estimate Results for Model 2 Using TDTE
TOBIN PE
Constant 1.421871 98.07088
TDTE -0.27458 -3.183458
t-Statistic -19.7284 -0.476915
Prob. 0.0000 0.6341
GROWTH 1.07937 4.387799
t-Statistic 35.3104 0.299294
Prob. 0.0000 0.7651
SIZE -0.038535 -2.769519
t-Statistic -2.410103 -0.361165
Prob. 0.0171 0.7185
No. Observations 162 162
R-squared 0.911000 0.003282
Adjusted R-squared 0.909311 -0.015643
S.E of regression 0.236031 113.2010
Sum squared resid 8.802281 2024687
Log likelihood 6.051375 -993.9677
F-statistic 539.0962 0.173423
Prob (F-statistic) 0.000000 0.914242
Mean dependent var 1.205579 24.30095
S.D. dependent var 0.783774 112.3259
Akaike info criterion -0.025326 12.32059
Schwarz criterion 0.050911 12.39683
Hannan-Quinn criter. 0.005628 12.35154
Durbin-Watson stat 1.977042 2.062094
Note: TOBIN = equity market value + liabilities book value / equity book value + liabilities book
value; PE = market price of common stock / earnings per share; TDTE = total debt to total equity;
GROWTH = total assets - book value of equity + market value of equity / total assets; SIZE =
ln(sales).
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Table 11: Estimate Results for Model 2 Using LTDTA
TOBIN PE
Constant 2.719633 113.9763
LTDTA -1.494015 4.96757
t-Statistic -7.794511 0.085407
Prob. 0.0000 0.9320
GROWTH 1.074631 3.989722
t-Statistic 22.2098 0.271733
Prob. 0.0000 0.7862
SIZE -0.093499 -3.511319
t-Statistic -3.768377 -0.466371
Prob. 0.0002 0.6416
No. Observations 162 162
R-squared 0.777369 0.001893
Adjusted R-squared 0.773142 -0.017058
S.E of regression 0.373308 113.2799
Sum squared resid 22.01873 2027508
Log likelihood -68.21609 -994.0805
F-statistic 183.8985 0.099903
Prob (F-statistic) 0.000000 0.959959
Mean dependent var 1.205579 24.30095
S.D. dependent var 0.783774 112.3259
Akaike info criterion 0.891557 12.32198
Schwarz criterion 0.967794 12.39822
Hannan-Quinn criter. 0.922510 12.35293
Durbin-Watson stat 2.157704 2.058518
Note: TOBIN = equity market value + liabilities book value / equity book value + liabilities book
value; PE = market price of common stock / earnings per share; LTDTA = long-term debt to total
assets; GROWTH = total assets - book value of equity + market value of equity / total assets; SIZE =
ln(sales).
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Table 12: Estimate Results for Model 2 Using STDTA
TOBIN PE
Constant 1.386044 140.2637
STDTA -1.666116 31.71192
t-Statistic -12.99965 0.667846
Prob. 0.0000 0.5052
GROWTH 0.987569 5.285529
t-Statistic 24.80830 0.358382
Prob. 0.0000 0.7205
SIZE -0.0259 -4.908051
t-Statistic -1.228819 -0.628534
Prob. 0.2210 0.5306
No. Observations 162 162
R-squared 0.851062 0.004657
Adjusted R-squared 0.848234 -0.014242
S.E of regression 0.305336 113.1229
Sum squared resid 14.73036 2021894
Log likelihood -35.65551 -993.8559
F-statistic 300.9475 0.246415
Prob (F-statistic) 0.000000 0.863794
Mean dependent var 1.205579 24.30095
S.D. dependent var 0.783774 112.3259
Akaike info criterion 0.489574 12.31921
Schwarz criterion 0.565811 12.39545
Hannan-Quinn criter. 0.520527 12.35016
Durbin-Watson stat 1.967021 2.073206
Note: TOBIN = equity market value + liabilities book value / equity book value + liabilities book
value; PE = market price of common stock / earnings per share; STDTA = short-tern debt to total
assets; GROWTH = total assets - book value of equity + market value of equity / total assets; SIZE =
ln(sales).
The results of the estimation of model 2 with each of the leverage measures and for
the full sample of observations for the period 2008 were displayed from Table 9 to
Table 12.
From regression results in Table 9, Table 10, Table 11, Table 12, the coefficient of
TDTE was insignificantly and negatively related to price per share to earnings per
share (PE), while coefficient of TDTA, LTDTA, STDTA were insignificantly and
positively related to PE. And the R-squared value of the model 2 using TDTA,
TDTE, LTDTA, STDTA to test the relationship between capital structure and PE
were 0.44%, 0.33%, 0.19%, 0.46%, respectively and the Adjusted R-squared value
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of the model 2 using TDTA, TDTE, LTDTA, STDTA were -1.45%, -1.56%,
-1.70%, -1.42%, respectively. The low R-squared and adjusted R-squared value
showed that PE variable was not suitable to measure the relationship between
capital structure and firm market performance in Vietnam. Hence, I excluded the
regression model using PE from the analysis. The reason for the insignificance of
PE could be that the share price did not reflect the actual situation for the firm.
There might be other factors affecting a firm market performance other than the
variable used in the study. Another reason could be that most investors still
depended on the accounting measure of performance rather than the PE measure
due to the investor favored payment of dividends or the inactivity of the stock
market. Furthermore, including some firms in our sample that had negative PE
affects the validity of the PE as a measure of performance.
The results of the estimation of the model 2 made the Tobin’s Q the most powerful
measures of performance in Vietnamese firm case, because the R-squared value of
model 2 using TDTA, TDTE, LTDTA, STDTA to test the relationship between
capital structure and Tobin’s Q were 99.93%, 91.1%, 77.73%, 85.10%,
respectively. Therefore, my discussion would concentrate on this measure of
market performance.
Hypothesis 5 predicted that a firm capital structure does influence its market
performance. From the regression results in Table 9, Table 10, Table 11, and Table
12, as expected the coefficient of TDTA, TDTE, LTDTA, STDTA, were
significantly and negatively related to the market performance measure Tobin’s Q.
For example, the LTDTA was significantly and negatively related to Tobin’s Q.
This result showed that higher long-term debt lead to lower Tobin’s Q.
Furthermore, it might provide support for the proposition that due to agency
conflicts, companies over-leveraged themselves, thus affecting their performance
negatively. My results were consistent with the findings of previous study such as
Krishnan and Moyer (1997), Tian & Zeitun (2007). The negative and significant
coefficient of LTDTA did not support Brick and Ravid’s (1985) argument that
long-term debt increased a firm value, which could be due to the low ratio of long-
term debt in the capital structure of Vietnamese companies. According to the
results, I accepted the Hypothesis 5: A firm capital structure does influence its
market performance.
From Hypothesis 6, growth opportunities increase firm market performance. From
the regression results from Table 9 to Table 12, Growth was found to have a
positive and significant effect on the market performance measure Tobin’s Q. The
high growth rates were associated with the lower cost of capital and high firm
value Tobin’s Q. This finding was not consistent with Myers (1977), but supports
the pecking order theory that high growth firms had a greater need for funds and
therefore could be expected to borrow more. According to the result, I accepted the
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hypotheses that growth opportunities increase firm market performance (Tobin’s
Q).
Hypothesis 7 predicted that a firm size is expected to have a positive influence on a
firm market performance. From the regression results from Table 9 to Table 12,
the coefficient of firm size was significantly and negatively related with Tobin’s Q
for model 2 using TDTE and LTDTA. The significant of firm size indicated that
large firm had lower market value compared to smaller firm. This result was
inconsistent with previous findings of Gleason, Mathur, and Mathur (2000) and
Tian & Zeitun (2007). However, the coefficient of firm size was insignificantly
and negatively related with Tobin’s Q for model 2 using TDTA and STDTA. The
insignificant effect of firm size on firm market value was consistent with previous
studies of many researchers such as Mudambi and Nicosia (1998), Lauterbach and
Vaninsky (1999), Durand and Coeuderoy (2001), and Tzelepis and Skuras (2004).
Based on the regression results, I rejected the Hypotheses that a firm size is
expected to have a positive influence on a firm market performance.
To summarize, the firm capital structure was a significant determinant of firm
market performance. A firm leverage had negative and significant effect on firm
value Tobin’s Q. The insignificance of the market performance measure PE
indicated that the Vietnamese equity market was not efficient, so the best market
performance measure was Tobin’s Q. Firm growth opportunities had a positive and
significant impact on the firm value Tobin’s Q. Furthermore, firm size had a
negative impact on firm value. This finding was not support the argument that
bankruptcy costs decreased with size, as well as economies of scale in transactions
costs associated with long-term debt that were not available to smaller firms.
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CHAPTER 5: CONCLUSIONS, RECOMMENDATIONS
AND LIMITATIONS
5.1 INTRODUCTION
Chapter 4 particularly discussed about the results of the research. Chapter 5
presents main conclusions and recommendations based on the results of the
previous chapters, as well as the limitations of this study.
5.2 CONCLUSIONS
This paper examines the impact which firm performance has had on corporate
capital structure combined with others variables such as firm size, growth
opportunities and asset tangibility, and the impact which firm capital structure has
had on corporate firm value.
There is no single study formulated in Vietnam that investigates the impact of
capital structure on a firm market performance and lack of study formulated in
Vietnam that investigate the impact of profitability, growth opportunities, size,
asset tangibility on a firm capital structure. This study tries to fill the gap in this
field by investigating the effect of firm performance on capital structure, as well as
the effect of capital structure on firm market performance by taking listed firm on
Hochiminh Stock Exchange as a case study. Furthermore, this paper employ
different measures of capital structure such as short-term debt to total assets, long-
term debt to total assets, total debt to total assets, and total debt to total equity in
order to investigate the effect of the debt structure on corporate market
performance. Investigating the effect of capital structure on corporate performance
using market measures can be valuable as it provides evidence about whether the
stock market is efficient or not.
A cross-sectional data of 162 companies is studied in this paper. A firm
profitability is found to have a significant and negative impact on all firm capital
structure measures TDTA, TDTE, LTDTA, STDTA. These findings could to some
extent support pecking order theory of Myers and Majluf (1984). They argue that
internal funds are used first, and when that is depleted, debt is issued, and when it
is not sensible to issue any more debt, equity is issued. An interesting finding is
that firm size has a positive and significant impact on the leverage measures
TDTA, TDTE, STDTA. This finding is consistent with a previous study of Rajan
and Zingales (1995), and indicating that a firm size is an important determinant of
corporate capital structure. Firm asset tangibility is found to have positive and
significant impact on TDTA and LTDTA, while have insignificant impact on
Capital Structure and Firm Performance
Page 39
TDTE. This finding supports the argument of previous researchers such as Rajan
and Zingales (1995), Margaritis and Psillaki (2007). They argue that the greater the
proportion of tangible assets on the balance sheet, the more willing should lenders
be to supply loans, and leverage should be higher. Firm growth opportunities have
significant impact only on Vietnamese firm TDTE, which is inconsistent with
Myers (1977).
For the model testing the relationship between firm capital structure and firm
value, the result from this paper shows that firm capital structure is a significant
determinant of firm value, Tobin’s Q, in Vietnam. The insignificance of the market
performance measure PE indicates that the Vietnamese equity market is not
efficient. Firm growth opportunities have a positive and significant impact on the
firm value Tobin’s Q. This finding supports the pecking order theory of Myers and
Majluf (1984) that high growth firms can be expected to have high leverage level.
Firm size, which is measured by log of sales, is negatively related to firm value
Tobin’s Q. This result is not support the argument that bankruptcy costs decrease
with size, as well as economies of scale in transactions costs associate with long-
term debt that are not available to smaller firms.
5.3 RECOMMENDATIONS
From the regression results of model 1, exploring the relationship between firm
leverage and four factors; profitability, growth opportunities, size and asset
tangibility, a firm total debt to total assets is affected strongly by firm size,
measured by log of sales (Beta is 0.049). Hence, if a manager wants to decrease a
company’s ratio of debt, he should pay attention to sales volume. For example, if a
manager is planning to increase the sales volume in the next month budgeting, he
should be prepared for an increasing in debt of a company. Focus on the detail,
asset tangibility impact strongest on long-term debt to total assets (Beta is 0.363)
and short-term debt to total assets (Beta is -0.184). Therefore, if a manager invests
more in tangible assets, he should notice on the increasing in long-term debt, but
decreasing in short-term debt. In reality, this results seem to be reasonable in
Vietnam, for a reason that Vietnam stock markets, bond markets and mutual funds
markets is undeveloped, so commercial banking systems play an important role in
providing lending to Vietnamese firms. From the regression results, firm’s
profitability plays an important determinant of firm leverage. So, manager also
should notice that if in the short run, dividends and investments are fixed, and if
debt financing is the dominant mode of external financing, then changes in
profitability will be negatively correlated with changes in leverage.
From the regression results from the model 2, exploring the relationship between
firm value and three factors: firm leverage, growth opportunities and size, firm
leverage affect strongly on firm’s value, which is measured by Tobin’s Q (Beta is -
Capital Structure and Firm Performance
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2.01, -0.27, -1.49, -1.66 respectively for four models using four proxies of firm
capital structure: total debt to total assets, total debt to total equity, long-term debt
to total assets, short-term debt to total assets). Thus, a manager can increase the
firm value by decreasing the ratio of using debt financing.
5.4 LIMITATIONS
The limitations of this study are restrictions in the research scope. There are only
162 companies in HOSE are used as cross-sectional data in the study.
The research measures the effect of firm performance on firm capital structure
combine with firm size, growth and asset tangibility on firm leverage, but it seems
not to be enough variables. From the regression results, the adjusted R-Squared of
the leverage model using 4 leverage proxies (TDTA, TDTE, LTDTA, STDTA) are
respectively 0.14, 0.11, 0.23, 0.13. These results prove that there are others factors;
besides profitability, size, growth opportunities, asset tangibility; have an impact
on the firm leverage variables in Vietnam. For example, Abdel Shahid, S. (2003)
find that firm ownership structure have a significant impact on firm accounting
performance measures, but insignificant relate to firm market performance
measures. If this factor has an impact on firm performance, then it may have an
impact on firm capital structure.
The study also has limitations that the author does not test the correlation between
the distribution of debt ratio and corporate performance to each type of companies,
as well as each industry. And the author has not explored the optimal capital
structure to maximize the market value of a firm. Hence, more research should be
implemented to explore these above limitations.
This study is only stopped as an academic research. It shows us a relationship
between firm capital structure and firm performance, and a generally initial
assessment about the effect of firm performance on firm capital structure, as well
as the effect of firm capital structure on firm market performance. Based on this
research, researchers and corporate managers can be continue to implement more
research, in order to evaluate more precisely about the relationship between firm
capital structure and firm performance in Vietnam.
Capital Structure and Firm Performance
Page 41
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Capital Structure and Firm Performance
Page 44
APPENDIX A
Variable definitions
The Variables are defined as the following formulas:
Price-to-Earnings
Ratio (PE) =
Market Price of Common Stock
Earnings Per Share
Tobin’s Q =
( Equity Market Value + Liabilities Book Value )
( Equity Book Value + Liabilities Book Value )
Profitability
(PROF) =
EBIT + Depreciation
Total Assets
Total Debt to Total Assets
(TDTA) =
Total Debt
Total Assets
Total Debt to Total Equity
(TDTE) =
Total
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